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# Online Lectures

# Lecture 9: Multiple Hypothesis Testing: More Examples

Blog, Online Lectures(Warning: These materials may be subject to lots of typos and errors. We are grateful if you could spot errors and leave suggestions in the comments, or contact the author at

yjhan@stanford.edu.)

In the last lecture we have seen the general tools and concrete examples of reducing the statistical estimation problem to multiple hypothesis testing. In these examples, the loss function is typically straightforward and the construction of the hypotheses is natural. However, other than statistical estimation the loss function may become more complicated (e.g., the excess risk in learning theory), and the hypothesis constructions may be implicit. To better illustrate the power of the multiple hypothesis testing, this lecture will be exclusively devoted to more examples in potentially non-statistical problems.

**1. Example I: Density Estimation **

This section considers the most fundamental problem in nonparametric statistics, i.e., the density estimation. It is well-known in the nonparametric statistics literature that, if a density on the real line has Hölder smoothness parameter , it then can be estimated within accuracy based on samples. However, in this section we will show that this is no longer the correct minimax rate when we generalize to other notions of smoothness and other natural loss functions.

Fix an integer and some norm parameter , the Sobolev space on is defined as

where the derivative is defined in terms of distributions ( not necessarily belongs to ). Our target is to determine the minimax rate of estimating the density based on i.i.d. observations from , under the general loss with . For simplicity we suppress the dependence on and assume that is a large positive constant.

The main result of this section is as follows:

This rate is also tight. We see that as are fixed and increases from to , the minimax rate for density estimation increases from to . We will show that these rates correspond to the “dense” and the “sparse” cases, respectively.

**1.1. Dense case: **

We first look at the case with , which always holds for Hölder smoothness where the norm parameter is . The reason why it is called the “dense” case is that in the hypothesis construction, the density is supported everywhere on , and the difficulty is to classify the directions of the bumps around some common density. Specifically, let be a bandwidth parameter to be specified later, we consider

for , where is a fixed smooth function supported on with , and is some tuning parameter to ensure that . Since

we conclude that the choice is sufficient. To invoke the Assoaud’s lemma, first note that for the separation condition is fulfilled with . Moreover, for any with , we have

Hence, the largest to ensure that is , which for gives the minimax lower bound

This lower bound is also valid for the general case due to the monotonicity of norms.

**1.2. Sparse case: **

Next we turn to the sparse case , where the name of “sparse” comes from the fact that for the hypotheses we will construct densities with only one bump on a small interval, and the main difficulty is to locate that interval. Specifically, let be bandwidth and smoothness parameters to be specified later, and we consider

where , and is a fixed smooth density on . Clearly is a density on for all , and

Consequently, , and the Sobolev ball requirement leads to the choice .

Next we check the conditions of Fano’s inequality. Since

the separation condition is fulfilled with . Moreover, since

we conclude that . Consequently, Fano’s inequality gives

and choosing gives the desired result.

**2. Example II: Aggregation **

In estimation or learning problems, sometimes the learner is given a set of candidate estimators or predictors, and she aims to aggregate them into a new estimate based on the observed data. In scenarios where the candidates are not explicit, aggregation procedures can still be employed based on sample splitting, where the learner splits the data into independent parts, uses the first part to construct the candidates and the second part to aggregate them.

In this section we restrict ourselves to the regression setting where there are i.i.d. observations , and

where is the independent noise, and is an unknown regression function with . There is also a set of candidates , and the target of aggregation is to find some (not necessarily in ) to minimize

where the expectation is taken over the random observations , for any , and is a suitable subset corresponding to different types of aggregation. For a fixed data distribution , the minimax rate of aggregation is defined as the minimum worst-case excess risk over all bounded functions and candidate functions :

Some special cases are in order:

- When , the estimate is compared with the best linear aggregates and this is called
*linear aggregation*, with optimal rate denoted as ; - When , the estimate is compared with the best convex combination of candidates (and zero) and this is called
*convex aggregation*, with optimal rate denoted as ; - When , the set of canonical vectors, the estimate is compared with the best candidate in and this is called
*model selection aggregation*, with optimal rate denoted as .

The main result in this section is summarized in the following theorem.

Theorem 1If there is a cube such that admits a density lower bounded from below w.r.t. the Lebesgue measure on , then

We remark that the rates in Theorem 1 are all tight. In the upcoming subsections we will show that although the loss function of aggregation becomes more complicated, the idea of multiple hypothesis testing can still lead to tight lower bounds.

**2.1. Linear aggregation **

Since the oracle term is hard to deal with, a natural idea would be to consider a well-specified model such that this term is zero. Since admits a density, we may find a partition such that for all . Consider the candidate functions , and for , let

where is to be specified.

To apply the Assoaud’s lemma, note that for the loss function

the orthogonality of the candidates implies that the separability condition holds for . Moreover,

Therefore, the Assoud’s lemma (with Pinsker’s inequality) gives

Choosing completes the proof.

**2.2. Convex aggregation **

The convex aggregation differs only with the linear aggregation in the sense that the linear coefficients must be non-negative and the sum is at most one. Note that the only requirement in the previous arguments is the orthogonality of under , we may choose any orthonormal functions under with (existence follows from the cube assumption) and use the density lower bound assumption to conclude that (to ensure the desired separation). Then the choice of above becomes , and we see that the previous arguments still hold for convex aggregation if . Hence, it remains to prove that when ,

Again we consider the well-specified case where

with the above orthonormal functions , a constant scaling factor , and a uniform size- subset of being and zero otherwise ( is to be specified). Since the vector is no longer the vertex of a hypercube, we apply the generalized Fano’s inequality instead of Assoaud. First, applying Lemma 4 in Lecture 8 gives

Second, as long as , using similar arguments as in the sparse linear regression example in Lecture 8, for with a small constant we have

with . Therefore, the generalized Fano’s inequality gives

and choosing completes the proof.

**2.3. Model selection aggregation **

As before, we consider the well-specified case where we select orthonormal functions on , and let , . The orthonormality of gives for the separation condition of the original Fano’s inequality, and

Hence, Fano’s inequality gives

and choosing completes the proof.

We may show a further result that any *model selector* cannot attain the above optimal rate of model selection aggregation. Hence, even to compare with the best candidate function in , the optimal aggregate should not be restricted to . Specifically, we have the following result, whose proof is left as an exercise.

Exercise 1Under the same assumptions of Theorem 1, show that

**3. Example III: Learning Theory **

Consider the classification problem where there are training data i.i.d. drawn from an unknown distribution , with . There is a given collection of classifiers consisting of functions , and given the training data, the target is to find some classifier with a small *excess risk*

which is the difference in the performance of the chosen classifer and the best classifier in the function class . In the definition of the excess risk, the expectation is taken with respect to the randomness in the training data. The main focus of this section is to characterize the minimax excess risk of a given function class , i.e.,

The subscript “pes” here stands for “pessimistic”, where can be any distribution over and there may not be a good classifier in , i.e., may be large. We also consider the optimistic scenario where there exists a perfect (error-free) classifer in . Mathematically, denoting by the collection of all probability distributions on such that , the minimax excess risk of a given function class in the optimistic case is defined as

The central claim of this section is the following:

Theorem 2Let the VC dimension of be . Then

Recall that the definition of VC dimension is as follows:

Definition 3For a given function class consisting of mappings from to , the VC dimension of is the largest integer such that there exist points from which can be shattered by . Mathematically, it is the largest such that there exist , and for all , there exists a function such that for all .

VC dimension plays a significant role in statistical learning theory. For example, it is well-known that for the empirical risk minimization (ERM) classifier

we have

Hence, Theorem 2 shows that the ERM classifier attains the minimax excess risk for all function classes, and the VC dimension exactly characterizes the difficulty of the learning problem.

**3.1. Optimistic case **

We first apply the Assoaud’s lemma to the optimistic scenario. By the definition of VC dimension, there exist points and functions such that for all and , we have . Consider hypotheses indexed by : the distribution is always

where is to be specified later. For the conditional distribution , let hold almost surely under the joint distribution . Clearly this is the optimistic case, for there always exists a perfect classifier in .

We first examine the separation condition in Assoaud’s lemma, where the loss function here is

For any and any , we have

and therefore the separation condition holds for . Moreover, if and only differ in the -th component, then and are completely indistinguishable if does not appear in the training data. Hence, by coupling,

Therefore, Assoaud’s lemma gives

and choosing yields to the desired lower bound.

**3.2. Pessimistic case **

The analysis of the pessimistic case only differs in the construction of the hypotheses. As before, fix and such that for all and . Now let be the uniform distribution on , and under , the conditional probability is

and is to be specified later. In other words, the classifier only outperforms the random guess by a margin of under .

Again we apply the Assoaud’s lemma for the lower bound of . First note that for all ,

Hence, for any and any ,

By triangle inequality, the separation condition is fulfilled with . Moreover, direct computation yields

and therefore tensorization gives

Finally, choosing gives the desired result.

**3.3. General case **

We may interpolate between the pessimistic and optimistic cases as follows: for any given , we restrict to the set of joint distributions with

Then we may define the minimax excess risk over as

Clearly the optimistic case corresponds to , and the pessimistic case corresponds to . Similar to the above arguments, we have the following lower bound on , whose proof is left as an exercise.

Exercise 2Show that when the VC dimension of is , then

**4. Example IV: Stochastic Optimization **

Consider the following oracle formulation of the convex optimizaton: let be the convex objective function, and we aim to find the minimum value . To do so, the learner can query some first-order oracle adaptively, where given the query the oracle outputs a pair consisting of the objective value at (zeroth-order information) and a sub-gradient of at (first-order information). The queries can be made in an adaptive manner where can depend on all previous outputs of the oracle. The target of convex optimization is to determine the minimax optimization gap after queries defined as

where is a given class of convex functions, and the final query can only depend on the past outputs of the functions.

Since there is no randomness involved in the above problem, the idea of multiple hypothesis testing cannot be directly applied here. Therefore, in this section we consider a simpler problem of stochastic optimization, and we postpone the general case to later lectures. Specifically, suppose that the above first-order oracle is stochastic, i.e., it only outputs such that , and . Let be the set of all convex -Lipschitz functions (in norm), , and assume that the subgradient estimate returned by the oracle always satisfies as well. Now the target is to determine the quantity

where the expectation is taken over the randomness in the oracle output. The main result in this section is summarized in the following theorem:

Theorem 4

Since it is well-known that the stochastic gradient descent attains the optimization gap for convex Lipschitz functions, the lower bound in Theorem 4 is tight.

Now we apply the multiple hypothesis testing idea to prove Theorem 4. Since the randomness only comes from the oracle, we should design the stochastic oracle carefully to reduce the optimization problem to testing. A natural way is to choose some function such that is convex -Lipschitz for all , and . In this way, the oracle can simply generate i.i.d. , and reveals the random vector to the learner at the -th query. Hence, the proof boils down to find a collection of probability distributions such that they are separated apart while hard to distinguish based on observations.

We first look at the separation condition. Since the loss function of this problem is , we see that

which is known as the optimization distance . Now consider

and for , let with defined as

Clearly is convex and -Lipschitz, and for we have

Hence, it is straightforward to verify that , and

In other words, the separation condition in the Assoaud’s lemma is fulfilled with . Moreover, simple algebra gives

and therefore Assoaud’s lemma gives

and choosing completes the proof of Theorem 4. In fact, the above arguments also show that if the norm is replaced by the norm, then

**5. Bibliographic Notes **

The example of nonparametric density estimation over Sobolev balls is taken from Nemirovski (2000), which also contains the tight minimax *linear* risk among all linear estimators. For the upper bound, linear procedures fail to achieve the minimax rate whenever , and some non-linearities are necessary for the minimax estimators either in the function domain (Lepski, Mammen and Spokoiny (1997)) or the wavelet domain (Donoho et al. (1996)).

The linear and convex aggregations are proposed in Nemirovski (2000) for the adaptive nonparametric thresholding estimators, and the concept of model selection aggregation is due to Yang (2000). For the optimal rates of different aggregations (together with upper bounds), we refer to Tsybakov (2003) and Leung and Barron (2006).

The examples from statistical learning theory and stochastic optimization are similar in nature. The results of Theorem 2 and the corresponding upper bounds are taken from Vapnik (1998), albeit with a different proof language. For general results of the oracle complexity of convex optimization, we refer to the wonderful book Nemirovksi and Yudin (1983) and the lecture note Nemirovski (1995). The current proof of Theorem 4 is due to Agarwal et al. (2009).

- Arkadi Nemirovski,
*Topics in non-parametric statistics.*Ecole d’Eté de Probabilités de Saint-Flour 28 (2000): 85. - Oleg V. Lepski, Enno Mammen, and Vladimir G. Spokoiny,
*Optimal spatial adaptation to inhomogeneous smoothness: an approach based on kernel estimates with variable bandwidth selectors.*The Annals of Statistics 25.3 (1997): 929–947. - David L. Donoho, Iain M. Johnstone, Gérard Kerkyacharian, and Dominique Picard,
*Density estimation by wavelet thresholding.*The Annals of Statistics (1996): 508–539. - Yuhong Yang,
*Combining different procedures for adaptive regression.*Journal of multivariate analysis 74.1 (2000): 135–161. - Alexandre B. Tsybakov,
*Optimal rates of aggregation.*Learning theory and kernel machines. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2003. 303–313. - Gilbert Leung, and Andrew R. Barron.
*Information theory and mixing least-squares regressions.*IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 52.8 (2006): 3396–3410. - Vlamimir Vapnik,
*Statistical learning theory.*Wiley, New York (1998): 156–160. - Arkadi Nemirovski, and David Borisovich Yudin.
*Problem complexity and method efficiency in optimization.*1983. - Arkadi Nemirovski,
*Information-based complexity of convex programming.*Lecture Notes, 1995. - Alekh Agarwal, Martin J. Wainwright, Peter L. Bartlett, and Pradeep K. Ravikumar,
*Information-theoretic lower bounds on the oracle complexity of convex optimization.*Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2009.

# Lecture 8: Multiple Hypothesis Testing: Tree, Fano and Assouad

Blog, Online Lectures(Warning: These materials may be subject to lots of typos and errors. We are grateful if you could spot errors and leave suggestions in the comments, or contact the author at

yjhan@stanford.edu.)

In the last three lectures we systematically introduced the Le Cam’s two-point method with generalizations and various examples. The main idea of the two-point method is to reduce the problem in hand to a *binary* hypothesis testing problem, where the hypotheses may be either single or composite. This approach works when the target is to estimate a scalar (even when the underlying statistical model may involve high-dimensional parameters), while it typically fails when the target is to recover a high-dimensional vector of parameters. For example, even in the simplest Gaussian location model where the target is to estimate under the mean squared loss, the best two-point approach gives a lower bound while we have known from Lecture 4 that the minimax risk is . To overcome this difficulty, recall from the minimax theorem that a suitable prior should always work, which by discretization motivates the idea of *multiple* hypothesis testing.

In this lecture, we develop the general theory of reducing problems into multiple hypothesis testing, and present several tools including tree-based methods, Assouad’s lemma and Fano’s inequality. In the next two lectures we will enumerate more examples (possibly beyond the minimax estimation in statistics) and variations of the above tools.

**1. General Tools of Multiple Hypothesis Testing **

This section presents the general theory of applying multiple hypothesis testing to estimation problems, as well as some important tools such as tree, Fano and Assouad. Recall from the two-point method that the separability and indistinguishability conditions are of utmost importance to apply testing arguments, the above tools require different separability conditions and represent the indistinguishability condition in terms of different divergence functions.

**1.1. Tree-based method and Fano’s inequality **

We start with the possibly simplest separability condition, i.e., the chosen parameters (hypothese) are pairwise seperated. The following lemma shows that the minimax estimation error is lower bounded in terms of the average test error.

Lemma 1 (From estimation to testing)Let be any loss function, and there exist such that

Then

where the infimum is taken over all measurable tests .

*Proof:* For any given estimator , we construct a test as follows:

Then the separability condition implies that

Then the rest follows from that the maximum is lower bounded by the average.

Remark 1The following weaker separability condition also suffices for Lemma 1 to hold: for any and , the inequality always implies that .

The remaining quantity in Lemma 1 is the optimal average test error , for which we are looking for a lower bound. Recall that when , this quantity equals to by Le Cam’s first lemma. For general , we have the following two different lower bounds.

Lemma 2 (Tree-based inequality)Let be any undirected tree on vertex set with edge set . Then

*Proof:* It is straightforward to see that

It is also easy (left as an exercise) to establish the following elementary inequality: for any reals and any tree , we have

Now using gives the desired inequality.

Lemma 3 (Fano’s inequality)Let . Then

Remark 2If we introduce auxiliary random variables and with , then

where denotes the mutual information between and .

*Proof:* We present two proofs of Lemma 3. The first proof builds upon the representation (1) and is more analytical, while the second proof makes use of the data-processing inequality, which is essentially the classical information-theoretic proof of Fano’s inequality.

**(First Proof)** By (1), it suffices to prove that

By the linearity of expectation, it further suffices to prove that for any non-negative reals with , we have

To establish this inequality, let . Then by the convexity of , Jensen’s inequality gives

Plugging in the above inequality completes the proof of Lemma 3.

**(Second Proof)** Introduce the auxiliary random variables and as in Remark 2. For any fixed , consider the kernel which sends to , then is the Bernoulli distribution with parameter , and is the Bernoulli distribution with parameter . By the data-processing inequality of KL divergence,

Now taking expectation on at both sides gives

and rearranging completes the proof.

Lemma 2 decomposes a multiple hypothesis testing problem into several binary testing problems, which cannot outperform the best two-point methods in typical scenarios but can be useful when there is some external randomness associated with each (see the bandit example later). Lemma 3 is the well-known Fano’s inequality involving the mutual information, and the additional term is the key difference in multiple hypothesis testing. Hence, the typical lower bound arguments are to apply Lemma 1 together with Lemma 3 (or sometimes Lemma 2), with the following lemma which helps to upper bound the mutual information.

Lemma 4 (Variational representation of mutual informatino)

*Proof:* Simply verify that

**1.2. Assouad’s lemma **

Instead of the previous pairwise separation condition, Assouad’s lemma builds upon a different one where the hypotheses are essentially the vertices of an -dimensional hypercube. Specifically, we shall require that the distance between parameters and is proportional to their Hamming distance , which becomes quite natural when the parameter of the statistical model lies in an -dimensional space.

Theorem 5 (Assouad’s Lemma)Let be any function. If there exist parameters indexed by such that

then

where

*Proof:* For a given estimator , define

Then it is straightforward to see that

The rest of the proof follows from Le Cam’s first lemma and the fact that the maximum is no smaller than the average.

In most scenarios, the total variation distance between the mixtures and is hard to compute directly, and the following corollaries (based on joint convexity of the total variation distance and Cauchy–Schwartz) are often the frequently presented versions of Assouad’s lemma.

Corollary 6Under the conditions of Theorem 5, we have

Corollary 7Under the conditions of Theorem 5, we have

where is the resulting binary vector after flipping the -th coordinate of .

The idea behind the Assouad’s lemma is to apply a two-point argument for each coordinate of the parameter and then sum up all coordinates. Hence, Assouad’s lemma typically improves over the best two-point argument by a factor of the dimension , given that the hypercube-type separation condition in Theorem 5 holds.

**1.3. Generalized Fano’s inequality **

In the Fano’s inequality and Assouad’s lemma above, we introduce a random variable which is uniformly distributed on the set or the hypercube . Moreover, the separation condition must hold for each pair of the realizations of . In general, we may wish to consider some non-uniform random variable , and only require that the separation condition holds for *most* pairs. This is the focus of the following generalized Fano’s inequality.

Theorem 8 (Generalized Fano’s Inequality)Let be any loss function, and be any probability distribution on . For any , define

Then for , we have

*Proof:* By Markov’s inequality, it suffices to show that for any estimator ,

We again use the second proof of Lemma 3. For any fixed , consider the deterministic kernel which sends to . Then the composition is a Bernoulli distribution with parameter , and the composition is a Bernoulli distribution with parameter . Then by the data processing inequality of KL divergence,

Since , taking expectation on at both sides gives the desired inequality.

To see that Theorem 8 is indeed a generalization to the original Fano’s inequality, simply note that when and the separation condition in Lemma 1 holds, we have and therefore the denominator becomes the log-cardinality. Hence, in the generalized Fano’s inequality, the verification of the seperation condition becomes upper bounding the probability .

**2. Applications **

In this section we present some applications of the above tools to statistical examples. Here the applications are mostly simple and straightforward, and we defer some more sophisticated examples in other domains to the next lecture.

**2.1. Example I: Gaussian mean estimation **

We start from the possibly simplest example of Gaussian mean estimation. Consider with known , and the target is the estimate the vector under the squared loss. Let be the corresponding minimax risk.

We first show that any two-point argument fails. In fact, if the two points are chosen to be , the two-point argument gives

where is the normal CDF. Optimization only gives .

Now we show that Assouad’s lemma can give us the rate-optimal lower bound . Let for , where is a parameter to be chosen later. Since

the separation condition in Theorem 5 holds with . Consequently, Corollary 6 gives

and choosing gives .

We can also establish the same lower bound using the generalized Fano’s inequality. Let , then Lemma 4 gives

Since for any with (break ties arbitrarily), we have

choosing gives

for some numerical constant , where the last inequality is given by sub-Gaussian concentration. Consequently, , and Theorem 8 gives

Again, choosing with small gives .

Remark 3The original version of Fano’s inequality can also be applied here, where is a maximal packing of with packing distance .

**2.2. Example II: Sparse linear regression **

Consider the following sparse linear regression , where is a fixed design matrix, and is a sparse vector with . Here is a known sparsity parameter, and we are interested in the minimax risk of estimating under the squared loss. Note that when , this problem is reduced to the sparse Gaussian mean estimation.

We apply the generalized Fano’s inequality to this problem. Since a natural difficulty of this problem is to recover the support of , we introduce the random vector , where is a parameter to be specified later, , denotes the restriction of onto , and is uniformly chosen from all size- subsets of . Clearly,

By Lemma 4,

where is the Frobenius norm of . Now it remains to upper bound for . Fix any such that holds with non-zero probability (otherwise the upper bound is trivial), and by symmetry we may assume that . Now by triangle inequality, implies that . Hence,

for a numerical constant after some algebra. Consequently, Theorem 8 gives

Finally, choosing for some small constant gives

In the special cases where or consists of i.i.d. entries, we arrive at the tight lower bound for both sparse Gaussian mean estimation and compressed sensing.

**2.3. Example III: Multi-armed bandit **

Next we revisit the example of the multi-armed bandit in Lecture 5. Let be the time horizon, be the total number of arms. For each , the reward of pulling arm at time is an independent random variable . The target of the learner is to devise a policy where is the arm to pull at time , and may depend on the entire observed history and . The learner would like minimize the following worst-case regret:

where is a technical condition. As in Lecture 5, our target is to show that

via multiple hypothesis testing.

To prove the lower bound, a natural idea is to construct hypotheses where the -th arm is the optimal arm under the -th hypothesis. Specifically, we set

where is some parameter to be specified later. The construction is not entirely symmetric, and the reward distribution under the first arm is always .

For a mean vector and policy , let be the non-negative loss function for this online learning problem. Then clearly the separation condition in Lemma 1 is fulfilled with . Next, we apply Lemma 2 to a star graph with center gives

where in step (a) we denote by the distribution of the observed rewards under mean vector , step (b) follows from the inequality presented in Lecture 5, step (c) is the evaluation of the KL divergence where denotes the expected number of pullings of arm under the mean vector , step (d) follows from Jensen’s inequality, and step (e) is due to the deterministic inequality . Now choosing gives the desired lower bound.

The main reason why we apply Lemma 2 instead of the Fano’s inequality and choose the same reward distribution for arm at all times is to deal with the *random* number of pullings of different arms under different reward distributions. In the above way, we may stick to the expectation and apply the deterministic inequality to handle the randomness.

**2.4. Example IV: Gaussian mixture estimation **

Finally we look at a more involved example in nonparametric statistics. Let be a density on which is a Gaussian mixture, i.e., for some density , where denotes the convolution. We consider the estimation of the density given i.i.d. observations from , and we denote by the minimax risk under the squared loss between real-valued functions. The central claim is that

which is slightly larger than the (squared) parametric rate .

Before proving this lower bound, we first gain some insights from the upper bound. In the problem formulation, the only restriction on the density is that must be a Gaussian mixture. Since convolution makes function smoother, should be fairly smooth, and harmonic analysis suggests that the extent of smoothness is reflected in the speed of decay of the Fourier transform of . Let be the Fourier transform of , we have

and . Hence, if we truncate to zero for all , the approximation error would be smaller than . This suggests us to consider the kernel on with

Then the density estimator has mean , which by Parseval’s identity has squared bias

Moreover, by Parseval again,

and a triangle inequality leads to the desired result.

The upper bound analysis motivates us to apply Fourier-type arguments in the lower bound. For (with integer to be specified later), consider the density

where is some centered probability density, is some parameter to be specified later, are perturbation functions with , and is the PDF of . To apply the Assouad’s lemma on this hypercube structure, we require the following orthogonality condition

to ensure the separation condition in Theorem 5 with . By Plancherel’s identity, the above condition is equivalent to

Recall from Lecture 7 that the Hermite polynomials are orthogonal under the normal distribution, a natural candidate of is , where we have used that , and we restrict to odd degrees to ensure that . This choice enjoys another nice property where the inverse Fourier transform of has the following closed-form expression for :

Moreover, since for large , we have . Therefore, we must have to ensure the non-negativity of the density .

Now the only remaining condition is to check that the -divergence between neighboring vertices is at most , which is essentially equivalent to

A natural choice of is the PDF of , with to be specified. Splitting the above integral over into and for some large constant , the orthogonality relation of gives

To evaluate the integral over , recall that behaves as for large . Hence, the natural requirement leads to the same upper bound for the second integral, and therefore the largest choice of is .

To sum up, we have arrived at the lower bound

subject to the constraints and . Hence, the optimal choices for the auxiliary parameters are , leading to the desired lower bound.

**3. Bibliographic Notes **

The lower bound technique based on hypothesis testing was pioneered by Ibragimov and Khas’minskii (1977), who also applied Fano’s lemma (Fano (1952)) to a statistical setting. The Assouad’s lemma is due to Assouad (1983), and we also refer to a survey paper Yu (1997). The tree-based technique (Lemma 2 and the analysis of the multi-armed bandit) is due to Gao et al. (2019), and the generalized Fano’s inequality is motivated by the distance-based Fano’s inequality (Duchi and Wainwright (2013)) and the current form is presented in the lecture note Duchi (2019).

For the examples, the lower bound of sparse linear regression is taken from Candes and Davenport (2013), and we also refer to Donoho and Johnstone (1994), Raskutti, Wainwright and Yu (2011), and Zhang, Wainwright and Jordan (2017) for related results. The full proof of the Gaussian mixture example is referred to Kim (2014).

- Il’dar Abdullovich Ibragimov and Rafail Zalmanovich Khas’minskii.
*On the estimation of an infinite-dimensional parameter in Gaussian white noise.*Doklady Akademii Nauk. Vol. 236. No. 5. Russian Academy of Sciences, 1977. - Robert M. Fano,
*Class notes for transmission of information.*Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Tech. Rep (1952). - Patrick Assouad,
*Densité et dimension.*Annales de l’Institut Fourier. Vol. 33. No. 3. 1983. - Bin Yu,
*Assouad, Fano, and Le Cam.*Festschrift for Lucien Le Cam. Springer, New York, NY, 1997. 423–435. - Zijun Gao, Yanjun Han, Zhimei Ren, and Zhengqing Zhou,
*Batched multi-armed bandit problem.*Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2019. - John C. Duchi, and Martin J. Wainwright.
*Distance-based and continuum Fano inequalities with applications to statistical estimation.*arXiv preprint arXiv:1311.2669 (2013). - John C. Duchi,
*Lecture notes for statistics 311/electrical engineering 377.*2019. - Emmanuel J. Candes, and Mark A. Davenport.
*How well can we estimate a sparse vector?*Applied and Computational Harmonic Analysis 34.2 (2013): 317–323. - David L. Donoho, and Iain M. Johnstone.
*Minimax risk over -balls for -error.*Probability Theory and Related Fields 99.2 (1994): 277–303. - Garvesh Raskutti, Martin J. Wainwright, and Bin Yu.
*Minimax rates of estimation for high-dimensional linear regression over -balls.*IEEE transactions on information theory 57.10 (2011): 6976–6994. - Yuchen Zhang, Martin J. Wainwright, and Michael I. Jordan.
*Optimal prediction for sparse linear models? Lower bounds for coordinate-separable M-estimators.*Electronic Journal of Statistics 11.1 (2017): 752-799. - Arlene K. H. Kim.
*Minimax bounds for estimation of normal mixtures.*Bernoulli 20.4 (2014): 1802–1818.

# Lecture 7: Mixture vs. Mixture and Moment Matching

Blog, Online Lectures(Warning: These materials may be subject to lots of typos and errors. We are grateful if you could spot errors and leave suggestions in the comments, or contact the author at

yjhan@stanford.edu.)

In the last two lectures we have seen two specific categories of the Le Cam’s two-point methods, i.e., testing between two single hypotheses, or between one single hypothesis and a mixture of hypotheses. Of course, the most powerful and natural generalization of the two-point methods is to test between two mixtures of distributions, which by the minimax theorem is potentially the best possible approach to test between two composite hypotheses. However, the least favorable prior (mixture) may be hard to find, and it may be theoretically difficult to upper bound the total variation distance between two mixtures of distributions. In this lecture, we show that both problems are closely related to moment matching via examples in Gaussian and Poisson models.

**1. Fuzzy Hypothesis Testing and Moment Matching **

In this section, we present the general tools necessary for this lecture. First, we prove a generalized two-point method also known as the fuzzy hypothesis testing. To upper bound the crucial divergence term between two mixtures, we introduce the orthogonal polynomials under different distributions and show that the upper bound depends on moment differences of the mixtures.

**1.1. Mixture vs. Mixture **

We first state the theorem of the generalized two-point methods with two mixtures. As usual, we require that any two points in respective mixtures be well separated but the mixtures be indistinguishable from samples. However, since many natural choices of mixtures may not satisfy the well-separated property in the worst case, the next theorem will be a bit more flexible to require that the mixtures are separated with a large probability.

Theorem 1 (Mixture vs. Mixture)Let be any loss function, and there exist and such that

Then for any probability measures supported on , we have

*Proof:* For , let be the conditional probability measure of conditioned on , i.e.,

Simple algebra gives . By coupling, we also have

Now the desired result follows from the standard two-point arguments and the triangle inequality of the total variation distance.

The central quantity in Theorem 1 is , the total variation distance between mixture distributions with priors and . A general upper bound on this quantity is very hard to obtain, but the next two sections will show that it is small when the moments of and are close to each other if the model is Gaussian or Poisson.

**1.2. Hermite and Charlier Polynomials **

This section reviews some preliminary results on orthogonal polynomials under a fixed probability distribution. Let be a probability measure on with and all moments finite. Recall that functions with are called *orthogonal* under iff

for and all . By orthogonal polynomials we mean that for each , is a polynomial with degree .

The simplest way to construct orthogonal polynomials is via the Gram–Schmidt orthogonalization. Specifically, we may choose , and to be the orthogonal component of projected onto with the inner product structure . This approach works for general distributions and can be easily implemented in practice, but it gives little insight on the properties of . We shall apply a new approach to arrive at orthogonal functions, which turn out to be polynomials in Gaussian and Poisson models.

Let be a family of distributions on with . Assume that admits the following local expansion around :

The next lemma claims that under specific conditions of , the functions are orthogonal under .

Lemma 2Under the above conditions, if for all the quantity

depends only on their product and , then the functions are orthogonal under .

Remark 1Recall that the quantity plays an important role in the Ingster-Suslina method in Lecture 6. The upper bounds in the next section can be thought of as a generalization of the Ingster-Suslina method, with the help of proper orthogonality properties.

*Proof:* The local expansion of likelihood ratio gives

The condition of Lemma 2 implies that the coefficient of the monomial on the RHS with must be zero, as desired.

Exercise 1Show that under the conditions in Lemma 2, for some scalar and any . In other words, is an unbiased estimator of up to scaling in the location model .

The condition of Lemma 2 is satisfied by various well-known probability distributions. For example,

and for any ,

In fact, the functions given in the defining equation (1) in the Gaussian and Poisson models are both polynomials of degree , known as the *Hermite polynomial* and the *Charlier polynomial* , respectively. The proof of Lemma 2 gives the following orthogonal relations:

Throughout this lecture, we won’t need the specific forms of the Hermite and Charlier polynomials. We shall only need the defining property (1) and the above orthogonal relations.

**1.3. Divergences between Mixtures **

Now we are ready to present the upper bound on the total variation distance between Gaussian mixture and Poisson mixture models. We also provide upper bounds on the divergence due to its nice tensorization property.

We first deal with the Gaussian location model. Let and be two random variables on , and let be the Gaussian mixture with random mean .

Theorem 3 (Divergence between Gaussian Mixtures)For any , we have

Moreover, if and , then

*Proof:* By translation we may assume that . Let be the pdf of , and . Then

where step (a) is due to the defining property (1), step (b) follows from the Cauchy–Schwartz inequality, and step (c) uses the orthogonal relation of . Hence the upper bound on the total variation distance is proved.

For the -divergence, first note that by Jensen’s inequality,

As a result,

where again we have used the defining property (1) and the orthogonality in the last two identities.

Specifically, Theorem 3 shows that when the moments of and are close, then the corresponding Gaussian mixtures are statistically close. Similar results also hold for Poisson mixtures.

Theorem 4 (Divergence between Poisson Mixtures)For any and random variables supported on , we have

Moreover, if and almost surely, then

*Proof:* The proof of both inequalities essentially follow the same lines as those in the proof of Theorem 3, with the Hermite polynomial replaced by the Charlier polynomial . The only difference is that when and almost surely, for all we have

**2. Examples in Gaussian Models **

In this section, we present examples in Gaussian location models where we need to test between two mixtures. In these examples, we match moments up to either some finite degree, or some large and growing degrees such that the information divergences become extremely small.

**2.1. Gaussian Mixture Models **

Consider the following two-component Gaussian mixture model where i.i.d. samples are drawn from . One possible task of proper learning is to estimate the parameters within -distance to the truth up to permutation. In other words, the target is to recover the components of the Gaussian mixture, which in practice helps to perform tasks such as clustering. The target is to determine the optimal sample complexity of this problem, assuming that is unknown but bounded away from and (e.g., ), and the overall variance of the mixture is at most , where is some prespecified parameter.

To derive a lower bound, the two-point method suggests to find two sets of parameters which are -seperated, while the information divergence between these two mixtures is . However, since Theorem 3 can only deal with mixtures with an identical variance in each component, we cannot simply take to be a discrete random variable supported on two points . To overcome this difficulty, note that

where denotes convolution of probability measures. Hence, we may treat the overall mixture to be , and choose and similarly for . Now the desired -divergence becomes

To apply Theorem 3, we should construct random variables and with as many matched moments as possible. Since there are free parameters in the two-component Gaussian mixtures, we expect that and can only have matched moments up to degree . A specific choice can be as follows:

Clearly both and have overall variance . Replacing by their centered version, Theorem 3 gives

as long as . Hence, by the additivity of the -divergence, we conclude that is a lower bound on the sample complexity.

The seemingly strange bound is also tight for this problem, and the idea is to estimate the first moments of the mixture and then show that close moments imply close parameters. We leave the details to the reference in the bibliographic notes.

**2.2. -norm Estimation of Bounded Gaussian Mean **

Consider the Gaussian location model with unit variance, where the mean vector satisfies . The target here is to estimate the norm of the mean vector , and let be the minimax risk under the absolute value loss. The main result here is to prove the following tight lower bound:

**2.2.1. Failure of Point vs. Mixture**

Motivated by the point vs. mixture approach in the last lecture, one natural idea is to test between and a composite hypothesis , where is a parameter to be specified later such that and are indistinguishable in the minimax sense. Consequently, this approach gives the lower bound , and the target is to find some as large as possible. We claim that the largest possible is , which is strictly smaller than the desired minimax risk.

Let , and consider *any* prior distribution supported on . Then Ingster-Suslina method gives

Using the Taylor expansion and the inequality for all , we conclude that

Note that the above inequality holds for any supported on . Hence, when , these hypotheses and become statistically distinguishable, and therefore the best possible lower bound from the point vs. mixture approach is .

There is also another way to show the desired failure, i.e., we may construct an explicit test which reliably distinguishes between and . The idea is to apply the test, i.e., compute the statistic . Clearly under we have , and after some algebra we may show that under . Since implies , we conclude that comparing with a suitable threshold results in a reliable test.

**2.2.1. Moment Matching and Polynomial Approximation**

Previous section shows that testing between a single distribution and a mixture does not work, where the knowledge of the single distribution can be used for the test and may make the problem significantly easier. Hence, an improvement is to consider two composite hypotheses and , where are parameters to be chosen later. For the priors on , Theorem 3 motivates us to use product priors where are probability measures on with matched moments up to degree (to be chosen later). The specific choices of must fulfill the following requirements:

- Have matched moments up to degree while with the quantity as large as possible;
- For , the prior is supported on ;
- The -divergence is upper bounded by , or in other words, .

We check the above requirements in the reverse order and specify the choices of and gradually. For the last requirement, Theorem 3 with gives

As a result, to have , it suffices to take .

The second constraint that be (almost) supported on is also easy. Set

where is a large eough numerical constant. The idea behind the above choices is that, under the product distribution , the random variable is the sum of i.i.d. random variables taking value in following distribution . Then by the sub-Gaussian concentration, the norm is centered at with fluctuation . Hence, for large both probabilities and are small, which fulfills the conditions in Theorem 1.

The most non-trivial requirement is the first requirement, which by our choice of essentially aims to maximize the difference subject to the constraint that the probability measures are supported on and have matching first moments. The following lemma shows the duality between moment matching and best polynomial approximation.

Lemma 5For any bounded interval and real-valued function on , let be the maximum difference subject to the constraint that the probability measures are supported on and have matching first moments. Then

where denotes the best degree- polynomial approximation error of on the interval :

*Proof:* It is an easy exercise to show that . We present two proofs for the hard direction . The first proof is an abstract proof which holds for general basis functions other than monomials, while the construction of the measures is implicit. The second proof gives an explicit construction, while some properties of polynomials are used in the proof.

**(First Proof)** Consider the following linear functional , with for and . Equipped with the norm on functions, it is easy to show that the operator norm of is . By the Hahn-Banach theorem, the linear functional can be extended to without increasing the operator norm. Then by the Riesz representation theorem, there exists a signed Radon measure on such that

The fact implies that the total variation of is one. Write by Jordan decomposition of signed measures, then and satisfy the desired properties.

**(Second Proof)** Let be a degree- polynomial with on . Since is a Haar basis on , Chebyshev’s alternation theorem shows that there exist points such that with or . Consider the signed measure supported on with

where is a normalizing constant such that . Then by simple algebra, and has total variation . Moreover, the following identity is given by Lagrange interpolation

and comparing the coefficient of on both sides gives for . Now another Jordan decomposition of gives the desired result.

By Lemma 5, it boils down to the best degree- polynomial approximation error of on . This error is analyzed in approximation theory and summarized in the following lemma.

Lemma 6There is a numerical constant (known as the Bernstein’s constant) such that

Hence, by Lemma 5 and 6, the condition of Theorem 1 is satisfied with . As a result, we finally arrive at .

**3. Examples in Poisson Models **

In this section, we present examples in i.i.d. sampling models from a discrete distribution with a large support. We show that a general Poissonization technique allows us to operate in the simpler Poisson models, and use moment matching to either finite or growing degrees to establish tight lower bounds.

**3.1. Poissonization and Approximate Distribution **

Throughout this section the statistical model is i.i.d. sampling from a discrete distribution , where denotes the sample size and denotes the support size. It is well-known that the *histogram* with

constitutes a sufficient statistic. Moreover, for all , and are negatively dependent. To remove the dependence among different bins, recall the following Poissonized model:

Definition 7 (Poissonization)In the Poissonized model, for all and they are mutually independent.

In other words, in the Poissonized model we draw a random number of samples from and then compute the histogram. In Lecture 3 we have shown the asymptotic equivalence of the i.i.d. sampling model and the Poissonized model, but the arguments are highly asymptotic. The following lemma establishes a non-asymptotic relationship.

Lemma 8For a given statistical task, let and be the minimax risk under the i.i.d. sampling model and the Poissonized model with design sample size , respectively. Then

*Proof:* Let be the Bayes risks under prior in respective models. The desired inequality for Bayes risks follows from the identity

the Poisson tail bounds and the monotonicity of Bayes risks . Now the minimax theorem gives the desired lemma.

To establish the first identity, simply note that under any prior distribution , the Bayes estimator under the Poissonized model given the realization is exactly the Bayes estimator under the i.i.d. sampling model with samples.

Lemma 8 shows that the minimax risk essentially does not change after Poissonization. We sometimes also consider *approximate distributions* in the Poissonized model, where may not necessarily sum into one (note that the distribution of the histogram is still well-defined). The approximate distribution is typically used in lower bounds where a product prior is assigned to and cannot preserve the distribution property. For statistical problems where the objective function or hypothesis depends on the vector in a nice way that changing into with will not change the objective much, in the lower bound it typically suffices to consider the approximate distributions in the Poissonized model. The key idea is that, conditioning on , the histogram is exactly distributed as that in the i.i.d. sampling model from with samples. Then we may construct the estimator in the Poissonized model from the hypothetical optimal estimators (with different sample sizes) in the i.i.d. sampling model, and applying the same tail bounds as in the proof of Lemma 8 suffices. The details of the arguments may vary from example to example, but in most scenarios it will not hurt the lower bound.

**3.2. Generalized Uniformity Testing **

Consider the following generalized uniformity testing problem: given i.i.d. observations from some discrete distribution supported on at most elements, one would like to test whether the underlying distribution is uniform on its support. Note the difference from the traditional uniformity testing problem: the distribution may be supported on a subset of while still be uniform on this subset. Specifically, the task is to determine the sample complexity of distinguishing from the hypothesis uniform on its support and is -away from any uniform distribution with support under distance. We will show that the desired sample complexity is lower bounded by

Note that the first term trivially follows from the Paninski’s construction in the traditional uniformity testing problem, the goal is to prove the second term. It is expected that the second term captures the difficulty of recovering the support of the distribution, and therefore we should consider a mixture of uniform distributions with random support in . Specifically, we consider the following mixture: let be two random variables with

Assign the -fold product distribution of (or ) to the probability vector , then forms an approximate probability distribution since . Moveover, under prior the (normalized) distribution is always uniform, and under prior the (normalized) distribution is -far from any uniform distribution supported on a subset of with high probability. Hence, neglecting the additional details for the approximate distribution, it suffices to show that

To establish the above bound for the -divergence, note that the random variables are chosen carefully with for . Moreover,

Consequently, Theorem 4 gives that

Since is a stronger lower bound than if and only if , under this condition and we will have . Then the above inequality gives

which is the claimed upper bound on the -divergence, establishing the lower bound.

We provide some discussions on the choice of and . Theorem 4 suggests that if and could match more moments, the -divergence could even be smaller. However, the number of matched moments is in fact limited by the problem structure. In the traditional uniformity testing problem, in the last lecture we essentially choose and as above. In this case, and only match the first moment, which is the best possible for must be a constant. In generalized uniformity testing, must only be supported on two points, one of which is zero. Meanwhile, the support of can potentially be arbitrarily large. The next lemma shows that no matter how we choose , we can match at most the first two moments.

Lemma 9Let be a probability measure supported on elements of , one of which is zero, and be any probability measure supported on . Then if and match the first moments, we must have .

*Proof:* Let . Let the support of be . Consider the polynomial of degree , the assumption gives . Finally, since is always non-negative, we have .

Lemma 9 applied to shows that moment matching up to degree is the best we can hope for. In fact, the above lower bound is also tight (see bibliographic notes).

**3.3. Shannon Entropy Estimation **

Finally we revisit the Shannon entropy estimation problem where the target is to estimate the Shannon entropy . Let be the minimax risk of estimating under the mean squared error, our target is to show that

The lower bound has already been shown via the two-point method in Lecture 5, and therefore the remaining target is to establish .

Similar to the norm example above, the Shannon entropy is a symmetric sum of individual functions of , where the individual function is non-differentiable at zero. It suggests us to apply similar ideas based on moment matching and best polynomial approximation to establish the lower bound. Specifically, the target is to construct two priors on the interval (with parameter to be chosen later) such that:

- The priors have matched moments up to degree (to be chosen later);
- The difference between and is large;
- With high probability, the Shannon entropy under and is well-separated;
- The common mean is at most .

Note that the first requirement (moment matching) ensures a small TV distance between the mixtures, the second and third requirements ensure the separation property (i.e., lower bound the mean difference and upper bound the fluctuations), and the last requirement ensures that sums into a constant smaller than one (recall that by assumption) and therefore setting gives a valid probability vector . We check these requirements one by one to find proper parameters .

For the first requirement, recall that Theorem 4 gives

Since the individual TV distance should be at most (for the future triangle inequality), we should choose , where is due to the assumption and that to make the first term become dominate in the minimax risk.

For the second requirement, by the duality result in Lemma 5 it is essentially the best degree- polynomial approximation error of on . The next lemma gives the best approximation error.

Lemma 10

By Lemma 10, the target is to maximize subject to the previous condition . Simple algebra shows that the maximum is , with the maximizer .

To resolve the third requirement, note that the mean difference of is by the above choice of and . Moreover, since for some constant if , the sub-Gaussian concentration shows that the fluctuation of under both is at most . Since , the fluctuation is indeed negligible compared with the mean difference. Careful analysis also shows that the contribution of to the entropy difference is negligible.

The last requirement requires proper modifications on the priors constructed in Lemma 5 to satisfy the mean constraint. This can be done via the following trick of change of measures: let be the priors constructed in Lemma 5which attains , whose value is summarized in the following lemma.

Lemma 11

Next we construct the priors as follows: for , set

Then it is easy to show that both and are probability measures, have matched moments up to degree , and have mean . Moreover,

Hence, the fourth requirement is fulfilled without hurting the previous ones.

In summary, Theorem 1 holds with , and we arrive at the desired lower bound .

**4. Bibliographic Notes **

The method of two fuzzy hypotheses (Theorem 1) are systematically used in Ingster and Suslina (2012) on nonparametric testing, and the current form of the theorem is taken from Theorem 2.14 of Tsybakov (2009). Statistical closeness of Gaussian mixture models via moment matching (Theorem 3) was established in Cai and Low (2011), Hardt and Price (2015), Wu and Yang (2018) for the -divergence, where the result is new for the TV distance. For Theorem 4, the TV version was established in part by Jiao, Kartik, Han and Weissman (2015) and Jiao, Han and Weissman (2018), where the version is new here. When , a stronger bound of the TV distance without the squared root is also available in Wu and Yang (2016). For more properties of Hermite and Charlier polynomials, we refer to Labelle and Yeh (1989).

For Gaussian examples, the proper learning of two-component Gaussian mixture was established in Hardt and Price (2015). The norm estimation problem was taken from Cai and Low (2011), which was further motivated by Lepski, Nemirovski and Spokoiny (1999). The Gaussian mean testing example under metric was taken from Ingster and Suslina (2012). For technical lemmas, proofs of Lemma 5 is taken from Lepski, Nemirovski and Spokoiny (1999) and Wu and Yang (2016), respectively, and Lemma 6 was due to Bernstein (1912).

For Poisson examples, the non-asymptotic equivalence between i.i.d. sampling model and the Poissonized model was due to Jiao, Kartik, Han and Weissman (2015). The tight bounds of the generalized uniformity testing problem were due to Batu and Canonne (2017) for constant , and Diakonikolas, Kane and Stewart (2018) for general , where their proof was greatly simplified here thanks to Theorem 4. For Shannon entropy estimation, the optimal sample complexity was obtained in Valiant and Valiant (2011), and the minimax risk was obtained independently in Jiao, Kartik, Han and Weissman (2015) and Wu and Yang (2016). For tools in approximation theory to establish Lemma 10 and 11, we refer to books Devore and Lorentz (1993), Ditzian and Totik (2012) for wonderful toolsets.

- Yuri Ingster and Irina A. Suslina.
*Nonparametric goodness-of-fit testing under Gaussian models.*Vol. 169. Springer Science & Business Media, 2012. - Alexandre B. Tsybakov.
*Introduction to Nonparametric Estimation.*Springer, 2009. - T. Tony Cai, and Mark G. Low.
*Testing composite hypotheses, Hermite polynomials and optimal estimation of a nonsmooth functional.*The Annals of Statistics 39.2 (2011): 1012–1041. - Moritz Hardt and Eric Price.
*Tight bounds for learning a mixture of two gaussians.*Proceedings of the forty-seventh annual ACM symposium on Theory of computing. ACM, 2015. - Yihong Wu and Pengkun Yang.
*Optimal estimation of Gaussian mixtures via denoised method of moments.*arXiv preprint arXiv:1807.07237 (2018). - Jiantao Jiao, Kartik Venkat, Yanjun Han, and Tsachy Weissman,
*Minimax estimation of functionals of discrete distributions.*IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 61.5 (2015): 2835-2885. - Jiantao Jiao, Yanjun Han, and Tsachy Weissman.
*Minimax estimation of the distance.*IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 64.10 (2018): 6672–6706. - Yihong Wu and Pengkun Yang,
*Minimax rates of entropy estimation on large alphabets via best polynomial approximation.*IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 62.6 (2016): 3702–3720. - Jacques Labelle, and Yeong Nan Yeh.
*The combinatorics of Laguerre, Charlier, and Hermite polynomials.*Studies in Applied Mathematics 80.1 (1989): 25–36. - Oleg Lepski, Arkady Nemirovski, and Vladimir Spokoiny.
*On estimation of the L r norm of a regression function.*Probability theory and related fields 113.2 (1999): 221-253. - Serge Bernstein.
*Sur l’ordre de la meilleure approximation des fonctions continues par des polynomes de degré donné.*Vol. 4. Hayez, imprimeur des académies royales, 1912. - Tugkan Batu, and Clément L. Canonne.
*Generalized uniformity testing.*2017 IEEE 58th Annual Symposium on Foundations of Computer Science (FOCS). IEEE, 2017. - Ilias Diakonikolas, Daniel M. Kane, and Alistair Stewart.
*Sharp bounds for generalized uniformity testing.*Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. 2018. - Gregory Valiant and Paul Valiant.
*The power of linear estimators.*2011 IEEE 52nd Annual Symposium on Foundations of Computer Science. IEEE, 2011. - Ronald A. DeVore and George G. Lorentz.
*Constructive approximation*. Vol. 303. Springer Science & Business Media, 1993. - Zeev Ditzian and Vilmos Totik.
*Moduli of smoothness.*Vol. 9. Springer Science & Business Media, 2012.

# Lecture 6: Generalized Two-Point Method: Point vs. Mixture

Blog, Online Lecturesyjhan@stanford.edu.)

In the last lecture we introduced Le Cam’s two-point method to establish information-theoretic lower bounds, where the target is to find two single hypotheses which are well separated while indistinguishable. However, restricting to two single hypotheses gives the learner a lot of information in many scenarios, and any pair of single hypotheses which are far apart becomes distinguishable. From another point of view, if we would like to mimic the Bayesian idea of using the least favorable prior, it is very unlikely that the least favorable prior is supported on only two points. Hence, in this lecture we generalize the two-point idea to the case where one point is a mixture of distributions, which suits well in various examples.

**1. General Tools **

**1.1. A Motivating Example **

We first discuss an example where the simple two-point method fails. Consider the following hidden clique detection problem: there is an underlying undirected simple graph with vertex set which either comes from an Erdös-Rényi graph (where each edge appears with probability independently), or there is a clique on vertices of and all other edges appear with probability independently. Recall that a clique is a complete graph where each two vertices are connected via an edge. The target is to reliably distinguish between these two cases, i.e., a vanilla Erdös-Rényi graph versus that planted with a hidden clique of size .

This task is a composite hypothesis testing problem, where consists of a single hypothesis where , while consists of a family of hypotheses depending on the precise location of the hidden clique. Of course, an Erdös-Rényi graph is unlikely to have large cliques, thus this task becomes easier when is large. Let be the threshold that the total error probability of the optimal test is at most when and is at least when .

We first try to use Le Cam’s two-point method to find a lower bound on . Let be the distribution of , and be the distribution of the graph where there is a planted clique on the vertex set with . To compute the total variation distance between and , note that with probability the Erdös-Rényi graph has a clique supported on . Hence,

holds for any . As a result, we have to ensure that , which is not an informative bound.

The problem with the above two-point approach is that, if the learner is *told* the exact location of the clique, she can simply look at the subgraph supported on that location and tell whether a clique is present. In other words, any single hypothesis from gives too much information to the learner. To overcome this difficulty, a natural idea is to take the support of the clique uniformly distributed on all size- subsets of , which is expected to result in a graph looking more similar to the Erdös-Rényi graph. This is exactly the central topic of this lecture.

**1.2. Generalized Le Cam’s Method: Point vs. Mixture **

As is shown in the previous example, there is need to generalize the Le Cam’s two-point method to the scenario where one of the points is a mixture of distributions. The theoretical foundation of the generalization is in fact quite simple, and the proof of the next theorem parallels that of Theorem 7 in Lecture 5.

Theorem 1 (Point vs. Mixture)Let be any loss function, and there exist and such that

then for any probability measure supported on , we have

The main difficulties in the practical application of Theorem 1 lie in two aspects. First, it may be non-trivial to find the proper mixture and the support . Second, upper bounding the total variation distance may be hard, especially when takes the form of . The next section proposes a general tool to overcome the second difficulty, where we use various examples to illustrate the *art* of the first difficulty.

**1.3. Upper Bounding the Divergence **

To upper bound the divergence between a single distribution and a mixture of distributions, the next lemma shows that the -divergence is a proper choice.

Lemma 2Let be a family of probability distributions parametrized by , and be any fixed probability distribution. Then for any probability measure supported on , we have

where the expectation is taken with respect to independent .

*Proof:* Follows from the definition and simple algebra.

The advantages of Lemma 2 are two-fold. First, it factorizes well for tensor products:

This identity makes it more convenient to use -divergence to deal with the point-mixture scenario. Second, for many statistical models (and a proper choice of ), the quantity

admits a simple closed-form expression in . We will see several examples in the rest of this lecture.

**2. Examples of Testing Problems **

In this section, we provide examples of composite hypothesis testing problems where th